Water is found in extrasolar planet’s air

FLAGSTAFF, Ariz., April 11 (UPI) — U.S. astronomers have, for the first time, identified water in the atmosphere of an extrasolar planet.

The identification was accomplished using Hubble Space Telescope measurements and theoretical models developed by Lowell Observatory astronomer Travis Barman. He found strong evidence for water absorption in the atmosphere of transiting planet HD209458b.

"We now know that water vapor exists in the atmosphere of one extrasolar planet and there is good reason to believe that other extrasolar planets contain water vapor," said Barman.

Although water vapor has been expected in the atmospheres of nearly all known extrasolar planets, most are too close to their parent star to allow identification.

The identification involving planet HD209458b was made possible since, as seen from Earth, it periodically passes in front of its star. As it does so, its atmosphere blocks a different amount of the starlight at different wavelengths.

An analysis of Hubble data by Harvard University student Heather Knutson made possible a direct comparison to theoretical models developed by Barman. That ultimately led to the identification of water absorption on the planet 150 light-years from Earth.

The research has been accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal.

"We now know that water vapor exists in the atmosphere of one extrasolar planet and there is good reason to believe that other extrasolar planets contain water vapor," said Barman.

Although water vapor has been expected in the atmospheres of nearly all known extrasolar planets, most are too close to their parent star to allow identification.

The identification involving planet HD209458b was made possible since, as seen from Earth, it periodically passes in front of its star. As it does so, its atmosphere blocks a different amount of the starlight at different wavelengths.

An analysis of Hubble data by Harvard University student Heather Knutson made possible a direct comparison to theoretical models developed by Barman. That ultimately led to the identification of water absorption on the planet 150 light-years from Earth.

The research has been accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal.

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IAF jets forced to buzz US airliner

The Israeli Air Force came very close Wednesday afternoon to intercepting and destroying a civilian airliner that had failed to make contact with Air Traffic Control and comply with international regulations as it approached the country’s airspace.

Four fighter jets – two F-15s and a pair of F-16s – buzzed a Continental Airlines flight that had originated in Newark and was carrying some 250 passengers once it came within eight kilometers of Israel, after the pilot failed to contact Ben-Gurion Airport upon his approach in line with international regulations.

A senior Air Force officer said the IAF went on high alert due to the suspicious incoming aircraft. He said Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Defense Minister Amir Peretz were updated about the event and IDF Chief of General Staff Lt.-Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi as well as IAF chief Maj.-Gen. Elazar Shkedy were placed "on-line" in case an interception order was needed.

"This was the closest we ever came to intercepting a civilian airplane," the officer said.

However, the IAF shot down a Libyan civilian airliner over Sinai in February, 1973 when it entered Israeli airspace, killing 108 out of the 113 people on board, after it failed to heed attempts at communication.

According to the officer, the pilot of the Boeing 777 contacted Ben-Gurion Air Traffic Control from a distance of some 325 km. from Israel but then contact was lost. Once the plane reached about a 68-km. distance from Israel – a five-minute flight to Tel Aviv – the IAF dispatched the fighter jets to inspect the aircraft and ensure that it had not been taken over by terrorists.

Continental Airlines issued a statement that said the following:

"Continental Airlines Flight 90 from Newark with 251 passengers landed safely in Tel Aviv at 4:30 this afternoon. Before the arrival, there was a temporary lapse in communications between the plane and the Air Traffic Control tower, and responsibility for the flight was passed from one control tower to a second one.

"As a result of this, the Air Force made contact with the plane and escorted it to its landing at its intended destination – Ben-Gurion Airport."

The airline said it was investigating the situation to avoid similar such incidents in the future.

Nathan Burstein contributed to this report.

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Collapsing colonies: Are GM Crops Killing Bees?

A mysterious decimation of bee populations has German beekeepers worried, while a similar phenomenon in the United States is gradually assuming catastrophic proportions. The consequences for agriculture and the economy could be enormous.

 

Is the mysterous decimation of bee populations in the US and Germany a result of GM crops?

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Is the mysterous decimation of bee populations in the US and Germany a result of GM crops?

Walter Haefeker is a man who is used to painting grim scenarios. He sits on the board of directors of the German Beekeepers Association (DBIB) and is vice president of the European Professional Beekeepers Association. And because griping is part of a lobbyist’s trade, it is practically his professional duty to warn that "the very existence of beekeeping is at stake."
The problem, says Haefeker, has a number of causes, one being the varroa mite, introduced from Asia, and another is the widespread practice in agriculture of spraying wildflowers with herbicides and practicing monoculture. Another possible cause, according to Haefeker, is the controversial and growing use of genetic engineering in agriculture.

As far back as 2005, Haefeker ended an article he contributed to the journal Der Kritischer Agrarbericht (Critical Agricultural Report) with an Albert Einstein quote: "If the bee disappeared off the surface of the globe then man would only have four years of life left. No more bees, no more pollination, no more plants, no more animals, no more man."

Mysterious events in recent months have suddenly made Einstein’s apocalyptic vision seem all the more topical. For unknown reasons, bee populations throughout Germany are disappearing — something that is so far only harming beekeepers. But the situation is different in the United States, where bees are dying in such dramatic numbers that the economic consequences could soon be dire. No one knows what is causing the bees to perish, but some experts believe that the large-scale use of genetically modified plants in the US could be a factor.

 

Felix Kriechbaum, an official with a regional beekeepers’ association in Bavaria, recently reported a decline of almost 12 percent in local bee populations. When "bee populations disappear without a trace," says Kriechbaum, it is difficult to investigate the causes, because "most bees don’t die in the beehive." There are many diseases that can cause bees to lose their sense of orientation so they can no longer find their way back to their hives.

Manfred Hederer, the president of the German Beekeepers Association, almost simultaneously reported a 25 percent drop in bee populations throughout Germany. In isolated cases, says Hederer, declines of up to 80 percent have been reported. He speculates that "a particular toxin, some agent with which we are not familiar," is killing the bees.

Politicians, until now, have shown little concern for such warnings or the woes of beekeepers. Although apiarists have been given a chance to make their case — for example in the run-up to the German cabinet’s approval of a genetic engineering policy document by Minister of Agriculture Horst Seehofer in February — their complaints are still largely ignored.

Even when beekeepers actually go to court, as they recently did in a joint effort with the German chapter of the organic farming organization Demeter International and other groups to oppose the use of genetically modified corn plants, they can only dream of the sort of media attention environmental organizations like Greenpeace attract with their protests at test sites.

But that could soon change. Since last November, the US has seen a decline in bee populations so dramatic that it eclipses all previous incidences of mass mortality. Beekeepers on the east coast of the United States complain that they have lost more than 70 percent of their stock since late last year, while the west coast has seen a decline of up to 60 percent.

In an article in its business section in late February, the New York Times calculated the damage US agriculture would suffer if bees died out. Experts at Cornell University in upstate New York have estimated the value bees generate — by pollinating fruit and vegetable plants, almond trees and animal feed like clover — at more than $14 billion.

Scientists call the mysterious phenomenon "Colony Collapse Disorder" (CCD), and it is fast turning into a national catastrophe of sorts. A number of universities and government agencies have formed a "CCD Working Group" to search for the causes of the calamity, but have so far come up empty-handed. But, like Dennis vanEngelsdorp, an apiarist with the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture, they are already referring to the problem as a potential "AIDS for the bee industry."

One thing is certain: Millions of bees have simply vanished. In most cases, all that’s left in the hives are the doomed offspring. But dead bees are nowhere to be found — neither in nor anywhere close to the hives. Diana Cox-Foster, a member of the CCD Working Group, told The Independent that researchers were "extremely alarmed," adding that the crisis "has the potential to devastate the US beekeeping industry."

It is particularly worrisome, she said, that the bees’ death is accompanied by a set of symptoms "which does not seem to match anything in the literature."

In many cases, scientists have found evidence of almost all known bee viruses in the few surviving bees found in the hives after most have disappeared. Some had five or six infections at the same time and were infested with fungi — a sign, experts say, that the insects’ immune system may have collapsed.

The scientists are also surprised that bees and other insects usually leave the abandoned hives untouched. Nearby bee populations or parasites would normally raid the honey and pollen stores of colonies that have died for other reasons, such as excessive winter cold. "This suggests that there is something toxic in the colony itself which is repelling them," says Cox-Foster.

Walter Haefeker, the German beekeeping official, speculates that "besides a number of other factors," the fact that genetically modified, insect-resistant plants are now used in 40 percent of cornfields in the United States could be playing a role. The figure is much lower in Germany — only 0.06 percent — and most of that occurs in the eastern states of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Brandenburg. Haefeker recently sent a researcher at the CCD Working Group some data from a bee study that he has long felt shows a possible connection between genetic engineering and diseases in bees.

The study in question is a small research project conducted at the University of Jena from 2001 to 2004. The researchers examined the effects of pollen from a genetically modified maize variant called "Bt corn" on bees. A gene from a soil bacterium had been inserted into the corn that enabled the plant to produce an agent that is toxic to insect pests. The study concluded that there was no evidence of a "toxic effect of Bt corn on healthy honeybee populations." But when, by sheer chance, the bees used in the experiments were infested with a parasite, something eerie happened. According to the Jena study, a "significantly stronger decline in the number of bees" occurred among the insects that had been fed a highly concentrated Bt poison feed.

According to Hans-Hinrich Kaatz, a professor at the University of Halle in eastern Germany and the director of the study, the bacterial toxin in the genetically modified corn may have "altered the surface of the bee’s intestines, sufficiently weakening the bees to allow the parasites to gain entry — or perhaps it was the other way around. We don’t know."

Of course, the concentration of the toxin was ten times higher in the experiments than in normal Bt corn pollen. In addition, the bee feed was administered over a relatively lengthy six-week period.

Kaatz would have preferred to continue studying the phenomenon but lacked the necessary funding. "Those who have the money are not interested in this sort of research," says the professor, "and those who are interested don’t have the money."

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan

 

джип на радиоуправленииАлександр Фильчаков Васильевич

Taal kan weens syfers ‘verdwyn’

Volledige artikel hier. 

Hoe raak die jongste demografiese tendense Afrikaanse skole en universiteite? Hierop het prof. Flip Smit, demograaf en oudrektor van die Universiteit van Pretoria, in ’n lesing in Bloemfontein ’n paar antwoorde verskaf.

Vooraf ’n paar syfers. Ons huidige bevolking van 47,3 miljoen sal vanweë die afname in die geboortekoers, meer sterftes aan vigs en vigsverwante siektes en veroudering stadig toeneem en teen 2021 sowat 51 miljoen beloop.

Wit mense het die vervangingsvlak (2,1 geboortes per vrou) in 1990 bereik, die Asiërs in 1999. Die bruines sal dit teen 2010 en die swartes teen 2035 bereik. Die jaarlikse geboortes sal dus tussen 2001 en 2010 by wit mense daal van 72 380 tot 59 697, en by bruines van 84 281 tot 73 205.

Onder alle groepe is sterftes aan die toeneem. By wit mense styg dit van 50 000 in 2001 tot 63 000 in 2009 vanweë MIV/vigs, veroudering, toenemende werkloosheid en swakker toegang tot gesondheidsdienste. Daarby kom ’n verlies weens emigrasie. Bykans ’n miljoen wit mense het sedert 1990 die land permanent of tydelik verlaat. In dieselfde tyd het tussen 8 en 9 miljoen vreemdelinge die land binnegestroom.

Binnelands verskuif die bevolking. Die verskuiwing uit die Oos- na die Wes-Kaap bedreig Afrikaans se posisie as dominante moedertaal in die Wes-Kaap.

[…]

Dit alles bedreig Afrikaans­mediumskole. Deeglike beplanning is nodig om te verseker dat Afrikaans as onderwysmedium voortbestaan. Smit sê Afrikaanstaliges presteer uitstekend en hy pleit dat die prestasies van moedertaalleerlinge nie benadeel moet word deur hulle te verplig om op skool of universiteit na Engels oor te skakel nie. Moedertaalonderwys is een van die hoekstene van gehalte-onderrig.

Hy noem regstellende aksie nie by die naam nie, maar sê pogings om die Afrikaanstaliges se intellektuele vermoëns te beperk of hulle te ontmoedig deur die nie-toekenning van studiebeurse of beperking op werkgeleenthede, gaan die land duur te staan kom.

Tussen 1993 en 1996 het ongeveer 60 000 wit studente uit hoër onderwys verdwyn. Vir sommige was die verandering van die kampusse se karakter en etos net te veel. Hulle het by private instellings ingeskryf, oorsee gaan werk of hul ouers daarheen gevolg.

[…]

Dis ontstellend dat die aantal Afrikaanse nagraadse studente by vier HAU’s daal. Net by Stellenbosch is daar ’n geringe toename. Smit sê hy is bewus van talentvolle nagraadse studente wat in die buiteland studeer. Hulle vrees dat standaarde aan Suid-Afrikaanse universiteite toenemend bevraagteken sal word.

As hulle moet padgee weens regstellende aksie, sal buitelandse kwalifikasies hulle groter toegang tot internasionale werkgeleenthede gee.

[…]

Dis ’n duidelike boodskap vir die HAU’s: Afrikaanstaliges stel Afrikaans as voertaal hoog op prys. Daarvan moet Afrikaanse politici en akademici kennis neem wat polities korrek so aanhou pleit vir nóg ingrypender transformasie, meer swart gesigte in die personeel en in rektorstoele – alles dinge wat ten koste van Afrikaans sal geskied.

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Zuma se belastingprobleem “opgelos”

Image

Jacob Zuma

Jabob Zuma se voorslepende probleem met die Suid-Afrikaanse Inkomstediens is in Durban “opgelos”, het die ANC-adjunk-president se prokureur gister, Woensdag 11 April,  gesê.

Volgens Zuma se prokureur, Michael Hulley, “is die saak opgelos”.

Hulley het verseg om verdere kommentaar te lewer.

Adrian Lackay, die woordvoerder van die Inkomstediens, wou nie onmiddellik kommentaar lewer nie.

Zuma is in Februarie gedagvaar.

Die Independent on Sunday het toentertyd berig dat die dagvaarding die volledigheid van Zuma se bekendmaking van sy inkomste bevraagteken het, asook dat hy in gebreke gebly het om ’n opgawe in te dien.

Hulley het die koerant vertel dat die opgawe laat ingedien is.

“Ons het geen kommentaar nie… ons beskou mnr. Zuma se belastingsake as privaat en daar is niks om te sê nie,” is hy destyds aangehaal.

Presies hoe die saak Woensdag opgelos is, was nie onmiddellik duidelik nie.

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Oorlog en onrus benadeel nie groei in Afrika, meen IMF

Afrikalande sal vanjaar ’n skerp styging in groei ervaar, het die IMF Woensdag gesê, terwyl die organisasie steeds beklemtoon het dat gesonde ekonomiese bestuur ’n sleutel bly om die verbetering vol te hou.

Die Internasionale Monetêre Fonds het in ’n ondersoek na die wêreldekonomie die korttermynvooruitsigte vir Afrika as “baie positief” beskryf, wat ’n weerspieëling van stygende ru-oliepryse vir uitvoerders is, asook makro-ekonomiese stabiliteit, ’n sterk vraag na grondstowwe en skuldverligting.

’n Toename in groei tot 6,2 persent in 2007 vanaf 5,5 persent in 2006 word voorspel, totdat dit gaan terugsak tot 5,8 persent in 2008 vanweë moontlike stadiger momentum wêreldwyd.

’n Stygende euro kan ook uitvoere kortwiek van Afrikalande wat die CFA-frank van voormalige Franse kolonies gebruik en wat vas aan die Europese geldeenheid verbind is, het die Fonds in sy tweejaarlikse Wêreldekonomiese oorsig gesê.

Met die fokus op Afrika suid van die Sahara, waar momentum van 5,7 persent in 2006 tot 6,8 persent vanjaar gaan toeneem, meen die IMF dat gewapende konflik en politieke onrus steeds vooruitsigte gaan belemmer, maar dat “die frekwensie van sulke gebeure oor die afgelope dekade in die streek as geheel afgeneem het”.

Dit suggereer dat ekonomiese beleid, eerder as sosio-politieke ontwikkelings, die hoofbepaler sal wees of sterk groei plaasvind, aldan nie,”  het die Fonds voortgegaan.

Dit het gevra dat die uitset van sektore buiten grondstowwe verhoog behoort te word, dat minder handelsbeperkings behoort te geld, asook strenger perke op regeringsbesteding in olie-uitvoerland en stappe om die sakeklimaat te verbeter.

Volgens die verslag sal Suid-Afrika se groei vanjaar daal tot 4,7 persent vanaf 5,0 persent in 2006, terwyl die betalingsbalanstekort tot 6,5 persent van die uitset gestyg het met inflasie wat tot naby die boonste perk van ’n drie tot ses persentband toegeneem het.

Terwyl die Suid-Afrikaanse sentrale bank monetêre beleid “gepas” strenger gemaak het, “mag verdere rentekoersstygings nodig wees om inflasionêre druk teen te werk, wat ’n skerper afname in produksie tot gevolg mag hê”.

“Gegewe die belangrikheid van Suid-Afrika, veral vir die res van Suider-Afrika, sal enige sodanige verlangsaming ander lande negatief raak.”

Maar in die nabye toekoms sal Afrika suid van die Sahara se lot positief deur olie-uitvoerders beïnvloed word.

Die IMF het verwys na nuwe olieproduksiefasiliteite wat in Angola en Ekwatoriaal-Guinee in bedryf gestel gaan word. In Nigerië, waar die uitset deur die geweld in die Niger-delta onderbreek is, word verwag dat produksie teen die middel van die jaar ten volle herstel behoort te wees.

Nigerië het ook daarin geslaag om sy nie-olieverwante bruto nasionale produk met ’n gemiddeld van 8 persent oor die afgelope drie jaar te laat toeneem.

Regdeur Afrika is inflasie – buiten Zimbabwe – besig om af te neem en betalingsbalanse vertoon ’n oorskot, grotendeels danksy die olieprodusente, aldus die IMF.

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US missile shield plan draws fire from SPD

Seen through American eyes, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Germany has become a much friendlier place than that ruled by Gerhard Schröder, her predecessor, who spearheaded Europe’s opposition to the Iraq war in 2002.

Yet a fresh attempt by the Social Democratic party, junior partner in her coalition, to revive some of Mr Schröder’s critical rhetoric shows the transformation is, at best, incomplete.

Kurt Beck, Mr Schröder’s successor as SPD chairman, launched the first salvo early last month when he told the Bild tabloid that US plans to create an anti-missile defence system with bases in Poland and the Czech Republic were a step back to the cold war.

"We do not need new rockets in Europe. The SPD does not want a new arms race between the US and Russia on European soil," he said. "We already have enough problems in the world as it is."

Although broad-brushed, the comment was well calculated, both in its historical reference and in its intended effect. The reference was to Nato’s decision in 1979 to deploy nuclear missiles in western Europe to match the Soviet arsenal.

The decision did persuade Moscow to sign the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces treaty with the US in 1988, leading to the withdrawal of nuclear warheads in the European theatre. Yet it sparked an uproar in Germany at the time, where its rejection became a defining position of the left.

"These were the times when politicians of Beck’s generation were being socialised. The whole missile debate shaped the foreign policy outlook of the entire 1968 generation left of the centre," says Jan Techau, head of European studies at the German Council on Foreign Relations.

Mr Beck’s comment was also aimed at a domestic audience. The goal was to allow the SPD to recapture precious points in the popularity ratings lost to Ms Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union in previous months.

The chancellor, having grabbed the traditionally leftwing themes of environmental protection with her European initiative to reduce carbon gas emissions, and progressive family policies – her cabinet agreed this week to boost the number of kindergartens in order to help women take up work – the only way for the SPD to raise its profile was to paint itself as the "party of peace", already an over-used label during Mr Schröder’s anti-Iraq war campaign.

The move struck a chord; a poll in Stern magazine last month showed that 48 per cent of Germans saw the US as more dangerous than Iran (31 per cent said Tehran was a bigger threat), and nearly three-quarters agreed with Mr Beck’s comments.

"We are very much aware of the domestic dimension of the discussion," said a US diplomat. As the SPD be-longs to the coalition, there is some concern in Washington about the debate spilling into Berlin’s official policies.

This concern rose when Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the SPD foreign minister, penned a virulent attack against the US missile defence system in an article last week in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. "Our highest priority is disarmament, not rearmament. We want no new arms race in Europe," he wrote.

The criticism went further than Ms Merkel’s cautious call for Washington to consult more openly with Russia and the EU and to bring its plan under the umbrella of Nato. Her defence minister, a Christian Democrat like her, has openly supported the US plan.

This cacophony raised questions in the US about what, exactly, was Berlin’s position, and it prompted the US embassy to hold separate seminars on the anti-missile shield with the coalition parties and to seek a meeting with the SPD chairman.

On the domestic front, analysts doubt Mr Beck’s Schröderian gamble will pay off. With the next general election scheduled for 2009, many think he has moved too soon. Neither has the offensive met a universally positive echo in the SPD. Gunter Weissgerber and Markus Meckel, two MPs and foreign policy experts, have accused the chairman of launching a simplistic and mistaken controversy.

Yet with public opinion, in-cluding many conservative voters, so firmly on Mr Beck’s side, Ms Merkel too has grounds for concern. If her at-tempt to seek a rapprochement with US President George W. Bush fails to show dividends by the next election, she may come to regret it.

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US submarine forced to leave Persian Gulf

TEHRAN (Fars News Agency)- The damaged US nuclear submarine ‘Newport News’ which polluted the Persian Gulf waters with radioactive and chemical materials after it collided with a Japanese super tanker in Hormoz Strait was forced to leave the Persian Gulf following strong protests by Iranian officials.

Newport News, which accompanied USS Eisenhower, sustained heavy damages after it collided with the Japanese super tanker Mogamigava east of Hormoz Strait at 22:15 hours local time (18:45 GMT) on January 8, 2007, as a result of which its captain Mathew Vinegar was dismissed.

Following the collision and when the submarine was transferred to a port in Bahrain to undergo repair works, chemical and radioactive materials started leaking into the Persian Gulf waters.

Subsequently, commander of Iran’s naval force voiced his deep concern over the pollution of the Persian Gulf region and its negative impacts on the environment, following which the Iranian parliament’s Environment Commission pursued the case through correspondence and exchange of views with different world authorities and bodies.

As per the objections made in this regard coupled with the United States’ fear from the consequences and aftermaths of the case, the nuclear submarine was transferred from the Persian Gulf for overhaul.

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Experts bash Bush: Pullout won’t bring ‘enemy’ to U.S.

WASHINGTON – It’s become President Bush’s mantra, his main explanation for why he won’t withdraw U.S. forces from Iraq anytime soon.


President Bush meets with troops during a visit to the National Training Center at Fort Irwin, Calif., Wednesday.
(GERALD HERBERT/Associated Press)


In speech after speech, in statement after statement, Bush insists that ”this is a war in which, if we were to leave before the job is done, the enemy would follow us here.”

The line, which Bush repeated Wednesday in a speech to troops at California’s Fort Irwin, suggests a chilling picture of warfare on America’s streets.

But is it true?

Military and diplomatic analysts say it isn’t. They accuse Bush of exaggerating the threat that enemy forces in Iraq pose to the U.S. mainland.

”The president is using a primitive, inarticulate argument that leaves him open to criticism and caricature,” said James Jay Carafano, a homeland security and counterterrorism expert for the Heritage Foundation, a conservative policy organization. ”It’s a poor choice of words that doesn’t convey the essence of the problem – that walking away from a problem doesn’t solve anything.”
 
U.S. military, intelligence and diplomatic experts in Bush’s own government say the violence in Iraq is primarily a struggle for power between Shiite and Sunni Muslim Iraqis seeking to dominate their society, not a crusade by radical Sunni jihadists bent on carrying the battle to the United States.Foreign-born jihadists are present in Iraq, but they’re believed to number only between 4 percent and 10 percent of the estimated 30,000 insurgent fighters – 1,200 to 3,000 terrorists – according to the Defense Intelligence Agency and a recent study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a center-right research center.”Attacks by terrorist groups account for only a fraction of insurgent violence,” said a February DIA report.While acknowledging that terrorists could commit a catastrophic act on U.S. soil at any time – whether U.S. forces are in Iraq or not – the likelihood that enemy combatants from Iraq might follow departing U.S. forces back to the United States is remote at best, according to experts.
 
James Lewis, a U.S. foreign policy analyst at CSIS, called Bush’s assertion oversimplistic.
 
”There’s a grain of truth in Bush saying it’s better to fight them there rather than here, but it’s also overstated,” Lewis said. ”It’s not like there’s going to be gun battles in the United States.”
 
Daniel Benjamin, the director of the Center on the United States and Europe at The Brookings Institution, a center-left think tank, agreed.

”There are very few foreign fighters who are going to be leaving the area because they don’t have the skills or languages that would give them access to the United States,” said Benjamin, who served as the National Security Council’s director for transnational threats from 1998 to 1999. ”I’m not saying events in Iraq aren’t going to embolden jihadists. But I think the president’s formulations call for a leap of faith.”

”The war in Iraq isn’t preventing terrorist attacks on America,” said one U.S. intelligence official, who spoke only on the condition of anonymity because he’s contradicting the president and other top officials. ”If anything, that – along with the way we’ve been treating terrorist suspects – may be inspiring more Muslims to think of us as the enemy.”

Carafano and Lewis believe that a U.S. troop pullout would embolden Islamic jihadists, but that they’re much more likely to stay closer to home and spread violence to neighboring countries with poor records of combating terrorism, such as Somalia, Morocco, Algeria and perhaps Egypt, than they are to try to penetrate America.

Increased terrorism in those places would tax the United States, which would have to deal with the economic costs, global refugees and health crises that combat in those countries could produce.

”The danger is not that they’ll follow us home,” Carafano said. ”The problems will come to our doorstep, not the terrorists.”

Lewis of CSIS believes that a U.S. pullout could prompt some foreign fighters in Iraq to go home, head to Afghanistan to fight U.S. forces there or move to Europe, where Muslim anger is high and there are more Muslim communities to blend into.

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Adopt our baby girls, India begs Britons

The Indian government wants Britons to adopt India’s street children

British couples are being urged to help save millions of Indian baby girls from lives of abuse and misery.

The Indian government is relaxing its adoption rules to encourage more British and other western couples to reduce the number of orphans living on the streets, and abandoned in squalid and dirty children’s homes throughout the country.

There are more than 11 million abandoned children in India , and ministers want more families – both Indian and British – to offer loving homes.

Under current rules, it takes more than a year for British and other foreign families to successfully adopt an Indian baby, but under new government plans couples will be able to complete the formalities in just 45 days.

The emphasis will be on finding new families for thousands of babies – most of them unwanted girls – dumped in ‘street cots’ attached to childrens homes in India’s major cities.

The government is anxious that infants dumped in homes are given to new families before they are six months old. They fear institutionalisation could starve them of the love and nuturing they need to develop.

The new rules will give new hope to British families who have faced increasing problems adopting overseas. In the last few years Russia, China, Romania and Cambodia have all raised bureaucratic hurdles, and some, like Romania, have suspended foreign adoptions altogether.

India however has unique problems which ministers believe foreign adoption could play a part in solving. Thousands of Indian baby girls are killed at birth by poor mothers who cannot afford the lavish weddings and dowries they would one day be lumbered with, and also by middle-class women under pressure to bear their husband a prized son.

The government has encouraged more ‘street cribs’ to give mothers of unwanted daughters an alternative to ‘female infanticide.’ If it is successful, it will mean even more baby girls being dumped in orphanages, and more to find families for

Officials say they will still give priority to Indian families looking to adopt, but traditional prejudices against adopted children mean too few come forward to help. Each year around 4,000 orphans are adopted, and only three thousand of them are taken in by Indian families.

In some Delhi orphanages, like North Delhi’s ‘Cradle’ home,where around five babies are dumped every week, as many as fifty per cent of unwanted children go to families in Britain , the United States , Spain and Denmark.

Staff at the home say Indian families are often reluctant to take dark skinned babies or children whose complexions are not a good match with their own. The stigma against adoption and infertility is so great that many families adopt a well-matched child and pretend to relatives that it is their own baby.

L.K Mittal, chairman of the Indian government’s Central Adoption Resource Agency, said the new rules, which will come into force in two months’ time, are aimed at making more of India ’s orphans available for adoption, and making easier for British and other western couples to give them loving homes.

“There will be more domestic adoptions, and more foreign adoptions. The rules we have now are too lengthy and cumbersome – it takes a year for a foreigner to take a child from India , but it should be done within a couple of months. Every child needs a home with loving parents.

“Where there’s a threat of institutionalisation [for the child], and there’s a loving foreign family, that’s a better option than the orphanages. We want a loving, caring family for every child.’ To adopt an Indian child, couples must be financially secure and must have been together for more than five years. They must be between 30 and 55, with a combined age of less than 90. Single people are eligible but not same-sex couples.

The vetting procedure for Britons adopting in India is the same as if they were adopting within Britain. Potential adoptees first have to undergo a ‘Homestudy’ assessment by the Department for Education and Skills to check they are suitable parents to adopt.

Once a Home Study Report has been issued, the search begins for a child cleared for adoption in India. When a child is matched with British parents, the Indian government’s Central Adoption Resource Agency and the courts must issue ‘No Objection Certificates’ before the adoption is completed.

Under this system, the Indian end of the process has taken a year to complete. The Indian government is planning to impose short deadlines on each stage of the process to make sure it is completed within 45 days. The new rules will come into force within the next three months.

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