Oz unveils immigrant test

Australia has unveiled details of a new citizenship test for immigrants.

They will be asked questions about history, institutions and culture – as well as committing to Australian social values focusing on "mateship".

The aim of the test was to get "that balance between diversity and integration correct in future", said Immigration Minister Kevin Andrews.

Critics believe the requirement of an English language exam discriminates against non-English speakers.

The new citizenship test is expected to be introduced later this year.

The details were unveiled in a 40-page draft guide that is to be given to all applicants.

The prospective citizen will have to give a correct answer to 12 out of 20 questions – drawn from a total of about 200.

Some elements will almost certainly be beyond the knowledge of many ordinary Australians, says the BBC’s Nick Bryant in Sydney.

They include knowing the country’s first prime minister or when European settlers arrived in Australia – or what the opening line of the national anthem is. Another one could be related to the nation’s most important horse race.

Applicants who fail the test will be allowed to re-sit the examination.

But Kate Gauthier, national co-ordinator of refugee support group A Just Australia, criticised the government for introducing a citizenship exam.

"If they want to have Australia be more integrated they should spend more money on programs that achieve that instead of punishing people who are having trouble achieving that [integration] because they have language barriers and are recovering from things like torture," she was quoted as saying to the Sunday Herald Sun newspaper.

For the first time, the draft guide lists 10 essential Australian values every citizen must embrace – focusing on "mateship and a fair go" and including tolerance, compassion, freedom of speech, freedom of religion and secular government, equality of men and women and peacefulness.

It describes Australia as "a nation at ease with the world and itself", but it expects potential citizens to respect Australia’s core values.

"Australia has a strong tradition of mateship in which people help and receive help from others voluntarily, especially in times of adversity," it says.

"A mate can be a spouse, partner, brother, sister, daughter, son or friend. A mate can be a stranger."

The formulation caused controversy in 1999 when voters rejected an attempt by Prime Minister John Howard to have the concept written into the preamble to the constitution.

It was criticised as too sexist, or inappropriate for a formal document. справкаФільчаков прокурор

Redistributing 30% of white- owned farms

The Eastern Cape land affairs department has introduced the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) and Area-Based Planning (ABP) to speed up land redistribution to try to meet the 2014 deadline.

These two programmes, among others, would play key roles in assisting the department achieve its objectives of redistributing 30 per cent of white-owned commercial farms to the previously disadvantaged, said department head Dali Matta.

Redistributing 30% of white- owned commercial farms by 2014 is the national agriculture and land affairs‘ directive, which all provinces are expected to meet.

These programmes will not necessarily replace the government‘s land redistribution delivery vehicles, Land Redistribution for Agricultural Development (LRAD), the Proactive Land Acquisition Strategy (Plas) or expropriation.

They would rather complement the three delivery vehicles to speed up the process and ensure sustainable farming operations after the farms had been handed over to the beneficiaries, Matta said.

The ABP and SPV were conceived after the realisation that meeting the target would be difficult if land redistribution continued at the current pace.

“The SPV is a system whereby a land redistribution applicant accesses all the services under one roof. Currently applicants have to access all the services from different institutions.

“For example, when applying for project funding, the applicants come to us, but for support services they have to go to agriculture, and elsewhere for evaluation of land, business plan and surveying of the land. The SPV will house everything under one roof,” he said.

The SPV would shorten the length of time in which applications were processed. In turn, this would increase the pace of processing more farms, and would result in more hectares being delivered.

The concept goes to the Cabinet for final approval sometime in September. Consultation with stakeholders had taken place and they had bought in, he said,

The Eastern Cape has managed to redistribute only about 4% of the envisaged 30%, which is about 297 000ha.

With the department still having to redistribute about 2,2 million hectares in the next seven years, Matta said the SPV and ABP became more critical. The entire 30% is about 2,65 million hectares of arable land. More than three quarters of the 4% had been redistributed after 2001 after the introduction of LRAD, he said.

Before that, the government‘s delivery vehicle was the Land Acquisition Grant (Slag), which was introduced in 1995.

“Slag had to be reviewed as it was not doing well. It had limitations,” he said. Under Slag a household could only access R16 000. This did not work because in order to acquire a farm many families had to pool their grants, which created all sorts of problems as it made too many the beneficiaries of a single farm.

Unlike Slag, LRAD offers the individual the opportunity to access a minimum grant of R20 000 and a maximum of R100 000.

“With LRAD, individuals within a family can pool their grants, acquire a farm and work as a family,” he said. But LRAD is also under review. “We want to see where we can improve.”

With Plas, the government acquires arable land, develops it and leases it to beneficiaries who manage it, with the option to buy it after a certain number of years.

ABP is a new system which requires municipalities to integrate land redistribution and how best it can be achieved, in their integrated development plans. “Municipalities have been consulted about this, and they should include ABP in their annual IDP reviews,” Matta said.

Over and above the 30% of white-owned commercial farms to be acquired, Matta said, the government was busy with other projects aimed at redistributing its own land for agricultural purposes.

Speaking in Addo recently, Deputy Land and Agriculture Minister Dirk du Toit painted a sobering picture, saying about 82% of the 100 million hectares of farmland in South Africa was still in the hands of white people.

Moreover, he said since 1995 national government had managed to deliver 4% of land through redistribution. To meet the 2014 deadline, he said, about 2,86 million hectares should be distributed each year.

“This is an awesome challenge, but not insurmountable.” To this end the government would also pursue expropriation if necessary.

It would be done within the confines of the law, though, he said.

Although it could not provide figures, the Eastern Cape Commission on Restitution of Land Rights said it was close to settling all urban claims.

Project co-ordinator Mandisi Jekwa said he was confident that the commission would meet the 2008 deadline on all urban claims, except in cases beyond the commission. These were mainly claims being dealt with by the courts.

However, he said a significant number of rural claims still needed a considerable amount of attention. “Rural claims are challenging. They take much too long to process.”

Rural claims were protracted for longer than anticipated, he said, because of the lack of proper documents from claimants, the difficulty of tracing claimants, contested tribal boundaries and the fact that most rural claims, as opposed to urban claims, were communal.

“Given these challenges, it is unlikely that we will meet the deadline with rural claims.”

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‘Enhanced blast’

British soldiers in Afghanistan are being supplied with a new "super weapon" to attack Taliban fighters more effectively, defence officials said yesterday.

The "enhanced blast" weapon is based on thermobaric technology used in the powerful bombs dropped by the Russians to obliterate Grozny, the Chechen capital, and in US "bunker busters".

Defence officials insisted yesterday that the British bombs were different. "They are optimised to create blast [rather than heat]", one said, adding that it would be misleading to call them "thermobaric".

So-called thermobaric weapons have been used by the US against suspected al-Qaida and Taliban underground bases. Combined heat and pressure kill people over a wide area by sucking the air out of lungs and destroying internal organs.

Defence officials described the new weapon as a shoulder-launched "light anti-structure munition".

They said the bombs would be more effective than conventional weapons such as anti-tank missiles which often miss their targets. Even when they hit the damage is limited to a confined area.

The new weapons would be more effective against buildings and structures used by the Taliban, they said.

Sir Menzies Campbell, the Liberal Democrat leader, described the weapons as a "serious step change" for the British army. He added: "The continuing issue of civilian casualties in Afghanistan has enormous importance in the battle for hearts and minds. If these weapons contribute to the deaths of civilians then a primary purpose of the British deployment is going to be made yet more difficult."

The deployment of the weapons should have been announced to MPs, Sir Menzies said. "We need much more transparency."

The MoD said in a statement that it was buying "a small number of enhanced blast munitions for use on operations". It added: "These have been procured in full accordance with the UK’s obligations under international humanitarian law. It is important to us that our forces can choose from a wide suite of weaponry so they can respond appropriately and proportionately to any threat." The weapons would be used "proportionally under specific rules of engagement", the MoD said.

A "legal review" for the weapon – officially the lightweight anti-structure missile (ASM) – considered issues including whether it was prohibited or restricted under international law, whether it could be used discriminately, and whether it would cause unnecessary suffering.

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We must know what Mbeki said to Sarkozy

Last week I suggested that our president had become jaded. The rapid sequence of the man’s faux pas suggests that he may be wanting a way out, but no one is offering it.

The most common question people ask about Thabo Mbeki is how an obviously intelligent man could adopt such weird positions . How could he mortgage the country and his legacy to people such as Manto Tshabalala-Msimang? But the wheels have been coming off Mbeki’s leadership for a while . We now hear, once again, that Zimbabwe’s Robert Mugabe could not be bothered with what Mbeki has to say.

But then it’s hard to see these things when you are in the thick of them, and you are tired. The latest controversy involving our president goes beyond our borders, and if true could permanently damage our relationships with the rest of Africa . The row is over a congratulatory letter Mbeki allegedly wrote to French President Nicolas Sarkozy about a speech the latter gave at Cheick Anta Diop University in Senegal.

Apparently, Sarkozy delivered a racist speech about Africa and the history of African people, arguing that colonialism was not a crime against humanity and that it was in fact good for Africa. The French leader is reported to have said: “Africans have never really entered history. They have never really launched themselves into the future. In a world where nature controls everything, man has remained immobile in the middle of an unshakable order where everything is determined. There is no room neither for human endeavour, nor for the idea of progress… the African peasant only knows the renewal of time, rhythmed by the endless repetition of the same gestures and the same words. In this imaginary world where everything starts over and over again, there is no place for human adventure or the idea of progress.” How could the leader of a modern nation utter such ghastly goulash?

Everyone was shocked, and African leaders and intellectuals have made their voices known. So how could our president congratulate Sarkozy? In a letter leaked by the Elysee Palace and published in France’s most prestigious newspaper, Le Monde, Mbeki is reported to have written these words: “What you have said in Dakar, Mr President, has indicated to me that we are fortunate to count you as a citizen of Africa, as a partner in the long struggle for a true African renaissance in the context of a European renaissance and a renaissance of the rest of the world.”

I never thought the African renaissance was taking place within the context of a European renaissance.

Sarkozy is supposed to have reciprocated: “I am deeply touched that you took the time to read that speech. You have been kind enough to highlight the ‘courage and truthfulness’ of this speech. As you very well know, Africa needs truthful friends in order for her to meet the challenges she is facing.”

Now I doubt the veracity of this. I cannot imagine how Mbeki — a man who spent his entire life fighting apartheid and colonialism — would endorse such a racist repudiation of African history and experience. It makes no sense. I sincerely hope the letter attributed to Mbeki is not true and, if true, that he was being sarcastic. We urgently need clarification.

Was the Elysee Palace selectively leaking portions of this letter? Was there anywhere in the letter where Mbeki condemned Sarkozy for his remarks ? Claims that this was private correspondence between Mbeki and Sarkozy will not suffice. Any compromise on colonialism as a crime against humanity would go against everything we fought for and everything the African National Congress (ANC) stood for all those decades.

The only way Mbeki can clear the air is by making the letter public and exposing the Elysee Palace for its dishonesty. If there is any truth to the letter, the ANC should conduct a high-level investigation and Mbeki should apologise to African people everywhere.

On a different matter, that titan of the African and African-American women’s struggles, Angela Davis, will be speaking on Women and Public Leadership at the Wits Senate Room next Thursday at 5.30pm. Gender activist and scholar Nomboniso Gasa will lead the discussion.

Mangcu is executive chairman of the Platform for Public Deliberation, and a visiting scholar at the Public Intellectual Life Project at the University of the Witwatersrand.

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‘Bull’s testicles’

There is no firm indication on how much ratepayer’s cash will be spent on changing eThekwini’s municipality name.

An angry city manager Dr Michael Sutcliffe on Wednesday had harsh words for the media and refused to answer questions over how much a municipal name change will cost ratepayers.

Instead, Sutcliffe labelled the media’s preoccupation with the renaming as "crazy", and said there were no concrete plans for eThekwini to be replaced by the name, Kwa-Khangela.

‘eThekwini refers to the shape of Durban bay comparing it to a bull’s testicles’

The Durban Chamber of Commerce and Industry has also refused to speculate on the financial implications.

"At the moment it’s frustrating me that the media are continuing with this before there is any indication of what name we want to pursue," Sutcliffe said.

"It has to go through the process first and when it gets to Exco or council you have a fair indication that it may be adopted."

His position on the Kwa-Khangela change, however, comes a day after Mayor Obed Mlaba threw his weight behind and ANC proposal to move away from the name eThekwini, which was causing some "embarrassment".

Mlaba on Tuesday said he was uncomfortable at explaining to people and international dignitaries that eThekwini refers to the shape of Durban bay comparing it to a bull’s testicles.

‘KwaKhangela is a name of significant military and historic importance to Durban and the region’

Derivatives of eThekwini also refer to a bull with one testicle, but historians and language experts frequently differ on the precise translation.

In fact Mlaba said he was so embarrassed by questions relating to eThekwini’s meaning that he often tried to sidestep the issue.

"You are not proud to unpack what it means," he said.

The Durban Chamber of Commerce and Industry, which has previously been lambasted for its comments on the renaming process, has also refused to speculate on the cost implications to businesses.

CEO Professor Bonke Dumisa referred all media queries to chamber president Themba Ngcobo, who declined to speak on the issue.

"We would only like to confirm anything when there is something definite and there is a firm view that the matter is finalised. We cannot respond to speculation," Ngcobo said.

Council said earlier it would not pay for private sector signage and stationery changes.

Historically speaking, Kwa-Khangela is perhaps one of the most appropriate, and non offensive names suggested thus far.

Consensus is that Zulu King Shaka maintained a military garrison near the present Congella area, and variations aside, KwaKhangela is a name of significant military and historic importance to Durban and the region.

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Four Major Banks Borrow From Fed


Four major banks said Wednesday they each borrowed $500 million from the Federal Reserve’s discount window, lending weight to its efforts to restore liquidity to tight markets.

Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Wachovia Corp. each stressed they themselves have "substantial liquidity" and the ability to borrow money elsewhere.

In a joint statement, the latter three said they decided to borrow directly from the central bank to demonstrate "the potential value of the Fed’s primary credit facility" and encourage its use by other banks. It was not clear if other banks had also decided to borrow from the Fed.

On Friday, the Fed took the dramatic step of cutting its discount rate on loans to banks, to 5.75 percent from 6.25 percent, in an attempt to alleviate Wall Street’s credit crunch. It also made technical changes to make it easier for banks to get discount loans, including extending the credit period to up to 30 days.

Tapping the discount window had previously been seen as a last resort for banks in trouble, a perception the Fed sought to eliminate.

Citigroup was the first to announce its decision to borrow the money, "on behalf of its clients" at Citibank.

"Citi is pleased to inject liquidity into the financial system during times of market stress and to support creditworthy clients," the company said. "Citibank stands ready to continue to access the discount window as client needs and market conditions warrant."

It was followed minutes later by the three other banks.

"The companies believe it is important at this time to take a leadership role in demonstrating the potential value of the Fed’s primary credit facility and to encourage its use by other financial institutions," their statement said. The three added that they hoped their actions would "promote broad acceptance of the use of the facility."

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IMF hopes to triple African voting rights

International Monetary Fund (IMF) director general Rodrigo Rato on Monday expressed the organisation’s commitment to triple the voting rights of African nations in the organisation.

"We are conscious of the fact that current voting rights of African countries are insufficient and not representative enough," Rato said in Maputo at the end of a meeting of African finance ministers and central bank governors.

"Therefore, we will try our best possible to increase the voting rights and improve on their representations," he said.

He also hinted at the possibility of appointing an African deputy director general.

At the IMF’s inception, African countries had 11,2% of voting rights but their share has fallen to 2%. The rights are calculated on the basis of financial contributions.

Mozambique’s Finance Minister Manuel Chang said he hoped to see the African vote raised to 6% "in the first instance" and then in stages "until we arrive at our initial voting capacity".

African countries have demanded a reform of IMF working rules to include factors such as population and economic development in the calculation of voting rights

компрессор поршневой безмасляныйФільчаков Олександр Васильович

Blacks won’t die for US

NBC News on Sunday examined the "disappearing military mainstay" of African-American recruits, who in recent years had provided about 1/4 of military enlistments.

Once seen by young black people as "a sure way to climb the ladder," the military is increasingly being shunned because of the Iraq War. "Nearly 3 in 4 blacks oppose the war," NBC stated, and the percentage of active-duty black soldiers in the Army "has plunged by a third since 2001."

The drop-off in black recruits has been recognized as a problem since at least 2005, when the Washington Post reported that "the percentage of new Army recruits who are black has slipped dramatically over the past five years, reflecting a lack of support among African Americans for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan."

The Associated Press recently updated those figures and suggested that "the findings reflect the growing unpopularity of the wars, particularly among family members and other adults who exert influence over high school and college students considering the military as a place to serve their country, further their education or build a career."

The father of one young black man who would like to enlist told NBC that he has refused to give his permission — required because his son is only 17 — because "I still have that hope that in a year from now he might change his mind."

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Refugee centre turned into massive slum

Gauteng’s biggest refugee centre in Marabastad has turned into a slumland where women are raped every night and where refugees – mainly from Zimbabwe – squat for months hoping to get legal documents.

The national assembly’s Home Affairs committee paid an impromptu visit to the Home Affairs centre on Wednesday and its chairperson, Patrick Chauke, labelled the situation "inhumane" and a "massive crisis".

The smartly dressed MPs were met by hundreds of hungry, haggard looking refugees pushing and shoving to get into the building.

The centre’s director, Mfundo Ngozwana, said at least 1 000 people streamed to their office each day but with a staff of only 15 and unreliable equipment, only 50 to 75 people could be processed.

He said many of them slept outside the building and had been there for months.

"It’s created a slum where people are sleeping outside and there are even smash and grabs," he said.

Some refugees told Chauke they had been there since January 2006 and even those who got their papers had no place to go.

As the MPs made their way into the building, they were visibly disgusted by the stench of unwashed human bodies, overflowing bins, dirt strewn across the stairs, broken equipment with springs sticking out and important documents piled willy-nilly on the floor.

It was obvious that the floors had not seen a broom for months and in one office the table was covered in what seemed like used condoms but on closer inspection turned out to be latex gloves.

Ngozwana said they had no cleaners and had repeatedly told Home Affairs head office about their problems but nothing had been done about it.

He said 20 interns had just been deployed to work there but there were no offices and no computers for them.

According to Chauke, the health department had labelled the centre a "health hazard" and not conducive to providing a service to the public.

"The place is filthy … we don’t even have ablution facilities (and) people are relieving themselves in the field.

"There’s no proper water or shelter that people will fit in while they wait to be served," Chauke said.

He said that apart from Rossetenville in Johannesburg this was the only centre that dealt with refugees and the adverse working conditions had demoralised staff.

Also alarming was that syndicates from Pakistan were operating in the area and taking money from people with the promise they would be first in the queue, said Chauke.

On the pavement outside the steel fence surrounding the centre, hundreds of women sleep on cardboard boxes lined up next to each other every night.

They said about 500 people usually slept there and sometimes the number swelled to 1 000.

On Wednesday many of them said they had not eaten for at least a day and, if they were lucky, donors would sometimes arrive with food.

The majority of them were Zimbabweans hoping to get their official refugee documents so they could find work and send food to their families back home.

One of them, a young Zimbabwean mother, Cynthia, had been sleeping on the pavement with her baby since last week.

She said at night the men would often take their food and phones and, if they resisted, they were beaten or raped.

Chauke said the committee would meet with the national department of home affairs on Friday to discuss the matter.

насос для фонтана ценаФільчаков Олександр Васильович

Top Swiss banker attacks US

Switzerland’s top banker has warned of massive losses from the unfolding credit crisis, describing the collapse in US lending standards as "unbelievable".

Jean-Pierre Roth, president of the Swiss National Bank, said market turmoil was far from over as tremors from the sub-prime debacle continued to rock the world.

"We’re certainly not at the end of the story. There are question marks surrounding the development of the American economy," he said. "Something unbelievable happened. People who had neither income nor capital got credit with very attractive conditions. Now reality is striking back," he said.

In Germany, the state bank SachsenLB admitted that it had received a €17.3bn bail-out after its investment arm Ormond Quai racked up huge losses on US sub-prime debt. It had previously denied holding direct exposure to sub-prime.

The revelation came as traders braced themselves for another turbulent week, with mounting expectations that central banks may soon cut rates to prevent market mayhem leading to an economic downturn.

While the surprise half-point cut in the US discount rate to 5.75pc last Friday helped settle markets and launch a relief rally on Wall Street and European bourses, investors remain wary until it becomes clearer who is holding the main losses on US mortgage debt.

Stockmarket historian David Schwartz warned investors not be fooled by signs of recovery. "The truth is no-one knows how serious the financial problem in the US is, nor how it will unfold. We do know central banks are scared out of their minds," he said.

The scale of last week’s sell-off sent shock waves through almost every asset class. Hedge funds liquidated yen "carry trade" positions to meet margin calls, toppling dominoes across Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe.

Both Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers predict two cuts in the US federal funds rate to 4.75pc by the end of the year as falling house prices dampen spending. Michigan’s consumer confidence index slumped to 83.3 in August, down from 90.4 in July.

Markets are pricing in a 34pc chance that the European Central Bank will have to start cutting rates before the end of the year after growth faltered in the second quarter. The French and Spanish property booms have both stalled.

Jean Claude-Trichet, the ECB’s president, last week reaffirmed a likely quarter point rate rise to 4.25pc in September, despite the bank’s emergency actions in previous days. inside

подвесные светильникиАлександр Фильчаков

Citrus farms to pass to workers

As part of land redistribution endeavours the Eastern Cape agriculture and land affairs department has acquired three citrus farms in the Sundays River Valley to empower about 45 farm workers.

 

The department paid about R33-million for the farms through its Proactive Land Acquisition Strategy.

 

The acquisitions include the Watson, Hewitt and Van Breda citrus farms. Watson consists of about 40 hectares of citrus land, with about 40 000 citrus trees. It produces 1 500 tons of citrus annually. A big chunk is for export.

 

Hewitt consists of about 110 hectares of citrus land. It has 60 000 trees and produces 3 800 tons of citrus annually, of which 200 000 cartons are exports.

 

Van Breda consists of about 80 hectares, which produces about 140 000 cartons for the export market. It has 50 000 trees.

 

The farms were unveiled at the weekend on a media tour, also attended by Land Affairs and Agriculture Deputy Minister Dirk du Toit.

 

Although the workers are the direct beneficiaries, they haven‘t taken receipt of the farms yet as they still have to go for intensive training, including farm administration management.

 

The farms are registered under the land affairs department but are run and managed by the Sundays River Citrus Company (SRCC). The SRCC is owned by commercial citrus farmers in the Sundays River Valley. SRCC is the biggest packer of South African citrus. It packs and distributes the citrus to overseas markets via Capespan, the largest exporter of South African citrus. The SRCC is the single largest shareholder in Capespan.

 

Project director Mxolisi Ngangani said: “Ultimately the intention is to have the farms transferred to the black farmers . . . In the training we will be able to identify those with management capacity, and we will upgrade their status to become farmers. The rest will be shareholders and beneficiaries.” He said the farms should be transferred within three to five years.

 

Buyiswa Ndyenga, a beneficiary at Hewitt, said: “ I am very happy. Our kids will now prosper and achieve what we didn‘t.”

 

Elvis Mkhalakahlo who has been working at Watson for the past 14 years said: “I never knew this would happen in my life time. We are very thankful.”

 

Du Toit said this was a practical example of what happened when all parties willingly sped up land distribution.lego киевДанильченко Харьков

British forces useless

Image

Under attack

When America’s top commanders in Iraq held a conference with their British counterparts recently, Major General Jonathan Shaw – Britain’s senior officer in Basra – was quick to share his views on how best to conduct counter-insurgency operations.

For much of the last four years, the Americans in the room would have listened carefully, used to deferring to their British colleagues’ long experience in Northern Ireland. This time, however, eyes that would once have been attentive simply rolled.
    
Few were in the mood for a lecture about British superiority, when they fear that Downing Street’s planned pull-out from Basra will squander any progress from their own hard-fought "troop surge" strategy elsewhere.

"It’s insufferable for Christ’s sake," said one senior figure closely involved in US military planning. "He comes on and he lectures everybody in the room about how to do a counter-insurgency. The guys were just rolling their eyeballs. The notorious Northern Ireland came up again. It’s pretty frustrating. It would be okay if he was best in class, but now he’s worst in class. Everybody else’s area is getting better and his is getting worse."

The meeting, called by General David Petraeus, the senior US officer who has the task of managing the surge, is emblematic of what is fast becoming a minor crisis in Anglo-American military relations.

In Britain, Gordon Brown’s government has tried to depict a quiet process of handover to Iraqi troops in Basra, which will see the remaining forces in the city withdraw to the airport in November.

What US generals see, however, is a close ally preparing to "cut and run", leaving behind a city in the grip of a power struggle between Shia militias that could determine the fate of the Iraqi government and the country as a whole. With signs of the surge yielding tentative progress in Baghdad, but at the cost of many American lives, there could scarcely be a worse time for a parting of the ways. Yet the US military has no doubt, despite what Gordon Brown claims, that the pullout is being driven by "the political situation at home in the UK".

A senior US officer familiar with Gen Petraeus’s thinking said: "The short version is that the Brits have lost Basra, if indeed they ever had it. Britain is in a difficult spot because of the lack of political support at home, but for a long time – more than a year – they have not been engaged in Basra and have tried to avoid casualties.

"They did not have enough troops there even before they started cutting back. The situation is beyond their control.

"Quite frankly what they’re doing right now is not any value-added. They’re just sitting there. They’re not involved. The situation there gets worse by the day. Americans are disappointed because, in their minds, this thing is still winnable. They don’t intend to cut and run."

The officer predicted that the affair could have long-lasting implications. "There will be a stink about this that will hang around the British military," he said.

It is a view echoed by General Jack Keane, the architect of the surge strategy, who has just returned from Baghdad.

Gen Keane, who has the ear of Vice President Dick Cheney and Stephen Hadley, President George W Bush’s national security adviser, told The Sunday Telegraph: "It is disappointing and frustrating to see a situation in Basra that was once working pretty well, now coming apart. The situation there has been getting worse for some time."

The depth of concern has grown since Gordon Brown’s first prime ministerial visit to the US earlier this month, when he delivered a blunt message to Mr Bush that he would stick to plans which could see most of Britain’s 5,500 troops gone from Iraq next year.

The next political drama will come in four weeks when Gen Petraeus reports on the status of the surge strategy, which has successfully quelled violence in some areas but has failed to put an end to calls from Congress to bring the troops home.

Britain’s uncertain legacy in Basra will then be used as a political battering ram in Washington, as Mr Bush tries to win support on Capitol Hill.

One US official said that recent US military intelligence reports sent to the White House had concluded that Britain had "lost" Basra, and that Pentagon war games were predicting a virtual civil war in the South once British troops left.

He said: "When the White House makes the case for continuing the surge on the Hill they will say: ‘Look what happened in Basra when the Brits went back to their barracks. We can’t pull out now. Give us more time to get it right’."

He added that White House officials had expected Mr Brown to strike a different tone on Iraq to that of Tony Blair, but that they were disappointed not to win a firmer agreement to keep British troops in place.

"They don’t mind a change in rhetoric, but the bottom line for the president was to keep Basra as a British responsibility. He didn’t get as much as he wanted. There was a whiff of double dealing about it all."

As The Sunday Telegraph revealed last week, plans have been drawn up to send thousands of American troops into southern Iraq to take over the supervision of the vital supply route north from Kuwait, a task the British will bequeath when they leave.

But the senior US officer warned that combat troops may also have to go into Basra itself to "protect the population" from violence between its numerous warring Shia militias – an extra burden as perilous as any in Baghdad.

US Marine Colonel Gary Anderson, who has conducted recent Iraq war games for the Pentagon, said the situation Britain would leave behind in Basra "could be the most bloody part of the transition".

He said: "The primary issue in Basra will be a struggle between various Shia factions for control of the region, and frankly the regular government in Baghdad as well. It will be between pro-Iranian factions and those that are more nationalistic. It’s going to be nasty."

Col Anderson said British troops "did the best they could", but added: "I’m not sure they did as good a job as they did traditionally. This isn’t Northern Ireland. They thought they had a pretty good model but Iraq is a different culture."

Michael O’Hanlon, of the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank, added: "Basra is a mess, and the exit strategy attempted there has failed. It is, for the purposes of future Iraq policymaking, an example of what not to do.

"Basra has gone far towards revising the common American image of British soldiers as perhaps the world’s best at counter-insurgency."

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NATO warns of war in Kosovo

Serbia-NATO’s commander in Kosovo said Tuesday that patience is running out in the volatile province and he warned of further deterioration if international envoys fail to persuade ethnic Albanians and Serbia to agree on its future.

German Lt. Gen. Roland Kather, who commands over 16,000 troops in Kosovo, urged Western and Russian envoys to broker a deal between the independence seeking ethnic-Albanians and Serbia’s officials or risk facing a violent backlash if no agreement is reached.

"Patience is not endless," Kather said. "They should come up with a decision as soon as possible."

Last week envoys from United States, the European Union and Russia launched a 120-day effort to end the impasse over Kosovo.

The new effort follows Russia’s threat to block a Western-backed plan to grant Kosovo internationally supervised independence in the U.N. Security Council.

The diplomats are to report back to U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon by Dec. 10.

Kather said the situation was quiet in the province of some two million people but added it was "unpredictable."

"Certainly the situation will deteriorate after those 120 days," Kather said. "We have to do everything possible to keep it under control."

The delay in resolving Kosovo’s political status has raised fears of renewed violence as the frustration among the majority ethnic Albanians grows in the absence of a decision over its future, eight years into U.N. and NATO administration.

"My main worry is that following some kind of … political trouble, there will be some individuals, there will be some extremists, there will be some frustration," Kather said.

"They need a fuse, and then they might come up with some violent actions. That of course, will cause a reaction … and then suddenly this violence might run out of control," he said.

Both sides in the talks have expressed doubt an agreement will be reached and prospects for compromise are slim. Kosovo’s Albanians continue to insist on full independence from Serbia, an outcome Belgrade opposes.

Over the weekend the EU envoy to the talks said that partitioning the province along ethnic lines was an option if ethnic Albanian and Serbian leaders agreed, and threatened to deny the possibility of EU membership if the sides failed to compromise.

The two sides are to hold the next round of talks with international envoys Aug. 30 in Vienna, Austria.

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